Technical Analysis of Gold XAU/USD – Forecast for April 14, 2025

Gold continues to attract the attention of traders around the world amid global economic volatility and pending inflation data. Gold offers a safe haven during times of turmoil, making it increasingly important to monitor its technical movement on short-term time frames, especially on the H1 chart, to accurately identify daily trading opportunities.

Market Overview and Gold Prices

  • Current Price: 3201.80
  • Session High: 3205.32
  • General Trend: Upward but Facing Slowing Momentum
  • Technical Price Range: 3166-3244

Gold has witnessed a strong upward trend since the April 8 session, but is currently in a correction phase after approaching key resistance near 3244, amid clear signs of weakening momentum on indicators.

Technical Analysis of Gold XAU/USD – H1

Technical Trend:

Although the trend remains upward, momentum is declining with the beginning of a limited downward correction. The price is now struggling to hold above the 3200 support level, making it a pivotal level for today’s session.

Technical Indicators:

  • MACD: Shows a decline in positive momentum, with a bearish crossover imminent.
  • Stochastic: Has fallen from overbought areas (>80) to the 25 level, enhancing the possibility of a correction or consolidation.

Gold Trading Forecast Today – April 14, 2025

If the price can hold above 3186, we are likely to witness a new rebound towards 3230 and then 3244. However, a break of the 3166 support level could herald a structural shift towards the downside, especially if supported by a decline in inflation data.

Suggested Trading Plan:

  • Buy if the price stabilizes above 3186, with targets at 3230–3244.
  • Sell if the price breaks below 3166, with targets at 3140–3120.
  • Stop-loss: Flexible depending on the trend, preferably placed below/above pivotal analysis areas.
Technical Analysis of Gold XAU/USD

Trading strategies based on Buy/Sell levels

XAUUSD In case of buying           in case of selling
Entry point 3230.94 3186.96
Target Point 1 (TP1) First resistance: 3244.68 First support: 3167.72
Target Point 2 (TP2) Second resistance: 3250.55 Second support: 3160.82
Stop Loss (SL) 3186.96 3230.94

 

Gold remains under close surveillance at critical support levels, as a break above which signals a shift to a bearish scenario, while holding above could restore upward momentum. Traders are advised to remain flexible and monitor upcoming US data to determine the next direction.

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